Mbappé vs Haaland: the Golden Boot Duel in Norway vs France

Updated July 2026
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Split-style image of two star strikers in red and blue facing off before a World Cup match
Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland headline the pick of Matchday 3.

The standout fixture of 26 June decides top spot in Group I, but it also carries a personal subplot. Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland arrive at Norway vs France level on four goals apiece, both chasing Lionel Messi’s tournament-leading five. With both nations already through, the Golden Boot race is where much of the New Zealand betting interest sits.

Golden Boot Odds

Messi leads the market after a five-goal start, with several players close behind and prices shifting game to game. Here is the latest decimal snapshot.

Player Goals Golden Boot odds (as of 25 Jun)
Lionel Messi 5 ~2.75
Kylian Mbappé 4 ~3.00
Erling Haaland 4 ~7.50
Vinícius Júnior 4 ~8.00–9.50
Harry Kane — ~9.50
Golden Boot lines shift with every goal — Vinícius Júnior’s price tumbled from triple figures to single digits after his brace against Scotland. Always re-check before betting.

Haaland Downplays the France Game

Norway may have little to play for beyond first place. With qualification secured, Haaland was notably relaxed about facing the favourites:

"Honestly I don’t care too much. We’re through, we managed to get through, which is incredible. I couldn’t care too much about that game now. They’re probably going to win against us, they’re probably going to win the whole tournament."

Those comments, reported by Al Jazeera on 25 June, point to a Norway side that may rotate and rest players — which could give Mbappé more space and help France in the Golden Boot race.

France the Favourites — On the Pitch and Overall

France are around 1.63 to win the match and have hardened into the clear outright tournament favourite at roughly 5.00 (as of 26 June). One complication: head coach Didier Deschamps has left the camp following his mother’s death, with assistant Guy Stephan stepping in for this game.

France supporters celebrating in the stands draped in tricolour flags at the World Cup
France travel as the bookmakers’ favourites to lift the trophy.
Example: A NZD $20 stake on Mbappé for the Golden Boot at 3.00 returns $60 (a $40 profit) if he finishes top scorer.
  • Mbappé and Haaland are tied on four goals, one behind leader Messi (5).
  • Messi heads the Golden Boot market at ~2.75, with Mbappé next at ~3.00 (as of 25 June).
  • A relaxed, possibly rotated Norway could favour Mbappé’s goal tally.
  • France are ~1.63 for the match and ~5.00 outright favourites.
Who is favourite for the World Cup 2026 Golden Boot?
Lionel Messi leads the market at around 2.75 after a five-goal start, just ahead of Kylian Mbappé at ~3.00, with Haaland and Vinícius Júnior further back (as of 25 June).
What are the odds for Norway vs France?
France are favourites at around 1.63 to win, having also firmed as the ~5.00 outright tournament favourite as of 26 June.
How many goals do Mbappé and Haaland have?
Both Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland are on four goals, one behind tournament leader Lionel Messi.

Compare the latest prices on the World Cup 2026 odds hub, our top scorer odds and outright winner odds, and read more on France.

Odds shown in NZD decimals, sourced from market aggregators and correct at the time of writing — Golden Boot lines move quickly, so confirm before betting. Partners include RichRoyal and WinRolla. 18+. Bet responsibly.